Order of Post Hoc Analysis
There are three significant effects (one for treatment, one for soil, and one for the interaction of treatment by soil). Which should we investigate further first?
If you have a significant interaction effect, start with that interaction effect. Interaction effects will tell you the most about how the IVs effect the DV. Furthermore, in some cases, the main effects main contradict the interaction effect. As such, the more nuanced story (i.e., the interaction effect) is the better story to tell.
Order of Post Hoc Analyses
Significant interactions should be investigated first because they have the most amount of detail regarding how the IVs impact the DV.
If the interaction is not significant, investigate the significant main effects.
If no effects are statistically significant, do not perform (or interpret) post hoc analyses.
Types of Post Hoc Analyses
Before we get to how to perform post hoc analyses, let’s revisit why we want to perform post hoc analyses. We want to know about the pattern of means. We want to know how changing the level of IVs impacts the DV scores. This is especially important for the interaction effect.
Simple Effects Test
If we have a statistically significant interaction effect, it is telling us the impact of one IV on the DV changes as we change the levels of the other IV. As such, we may want to examine the effect of one IV within the levels of the other IV. That is, we take the data the was collected under one condition of one IV and test for the effect of the other IV on the DV. This approach is called the simple effects test.
The simple effects test ivnestigates the effect of one IV on the DV within each level of another IV.
In our example, we will test the effect of treatment in the “natural” soil condition and then separately in the “enriched” soil condition using one-way ANOVA. Tables 6 and 7 are the results of the simple effects tests within each type of soil.
Table 6
Simple Effects Test of Treatment within Natural Soil
Source
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
Treatment
|
54.89
|
2
|
27.44
|
49.40
|
<.001
|
Error
|
3.33
|
6
|
0.556
|
–
|
–
|
Total
|
58.22
|
8
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
Table 7
Simple Effects Test of Treatment within Enriched Soil
Source
|
Sum of Squares
|
df
|
Mean Square
|
F
|
Sig.
|
Treatment
|
104
|
2
|
52.00
|
156
|
<.001
|
Error
|
2
|
6
|
0.33
|
–
|
–
|
Total
|
106
|
8
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
With the effect of treatment being statistically significant in both conditions of soil (Fs > 49, ps < .001), we can move into the next post hoc analysis: pairwise comparisons.
Pairwise Comparison: Tukey HSD
The Tukey HSD is the appropriate analysis for a follow up to the simple effects test because the simple effects test was just a one-way between-subjects ANOVA.
Remember that the Tukey HSD test is preferable to an independent sample t-test because it controls for multiple tests so that we maintain an overall alpha level equal to 0.05. That is, it prevents us from inflating our type I error rate.
Tables 8 and 9 present the results fo the Tukey HSD tests for treatement in the natural and enriched soil conditions, respectively.
Table 8
Tukey HSD Test of Treatment within Natural Soil
Comparison
|
Difference
|
95% CI LL
|
95% CI UL
|
Sig.
|
Sugar - MiracleGro
|
-5.67
|
-7.53
|
-3.80
|
<.001
|
Water - MiracleGro
|
-4.67
|
-6.63
|
-2.80
|
<.001
|
Water - Sugar
|
1.00
|
-0.87
|
2.87
|
.300
|
Table 9
Tukey HSD Test of Treatment within Enriched Soil
Comparison
|
Difference
|
95% CI LL
|
95% CI UL
|
Sig.
|
Sugar - MiracleGro
|
-8
|
-9.45
|
-6.55
|
<.001
|
Water - MiracleGro
|
-6
|
-7.45
|
-4.55
|
<.001
|
Water - Sugar
|
2.00
|
0.55
|
3.47
|
.013
|
It seems that we’ve found the important change across soil conditions. Whereas the differences among the treatments are all statistically significant (ps < .05) in the enriched soil condition, the difference btween water and sugar was not reliably different in the natural soil condition (p = .300).
It can be hard to interpret interaction effects through post hoc analyses alone. An interaction plot can help to reinforce what is expressed in these analyses. Figure 3 represents the interaction between soil and treatment on strawberry sweetness
Figure 3
Interaction Plot of Soil and Treatment on Sweetness
As we saw across tables 8 and 9, the difference in sweetness for strawberries grown in natural soil were significanct for MiracleGro and Sugar or Water but not between Sguar and Water. In contrast, all treatments yieleding significantly different sweetness ratings in the enriched soil.
Depending on the guiding hypotheses, you may want to perform your pairwise comparisons differently. Perhaps I am interested in the best overall approach to growing sweet strawberries. That is, perhaps I won’t to directly compare all conditions. If this is the case, we would want to put all combinations of the IVs into a Tukey HSD test. Table 10 presents the results of such a test.
Table 10
Tukey HSD Using All Pairwise Comparisons
Comparison
|
Difference
|
95% CI LL
|
95% CI UL
|
Sig.
|
Sugar(Enriched)-MiracleGro(Enriched)
|
-8.000
|
-9.828
|
-6.172
|
0.000
|
Water(Enriched)-MiracleGro(Enriched)
|
-6.000
|
-7.828
|
-4.172
|
0.000
|
MiracleGro(Natural)-MiracleGro(Enriched)
|
-2.667
|
-4.495
|
-0.838
|
0.004
|
Sugar(Natural)-MiracleGro(Enriched)
|
-8.333
|
-10.162
|
-6.505
|
0.000
|
Water(Natural)-MiracleGro(Enriched)
|
-7.333
|
-9.162
|
-5.505
|
0.000
|
Water(Enriched)-Sugar(Enriched)
|
2.000
|
0.172
|
3.828
|
0.029
|
MiracleGro(Natural)-Sugar(Enriched)
|
5.333
|
3.505
|
7.162
|
0.000
|
Sugar(Natural)-Sugar:(Enriched)
|
-0.333
|
-2.162
|
1.495
|
0.988
|
Water(Natural)-Sugar(Enriched)
|
0.667
|
-1.162
|
2.495
|
0.817
|
MiracleGro(Natural)-Water(Enriched)
|
3.333
|
1.505
|
5.162
|
0.001
|
Sugar(Natural)-Water(Enriched)
|
-2.333
|
-4.162
|
-0.505
|
0.010
|
Water(Natural)-Water(Enriched)
|
-1.333
|
-3.162
|
0.495
|
0.214
|
Sugar(Natural)-MiracleGro(Natural)
|
-5.667
|
-7.495
|
-3.838
|
0.000
|
Water(Natural)-MiracleGro(Natural)
|
-4.667
|
-6.495
|
-2.838
|
0.000
|
Water(Natural)-Sugar(Natural)
|
1.000
|
-0.828
|
2.828
|
0.480
|
As we expected from Figure 3, apply MiracleGro to strawberry plants in enriched soil lead to reliably sweeter strawberries than any other soil x treatment condition. We can tell this because all Tukey HSD post hoc tests involving the MiracleGro in enriched soil were statistically significant.